Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Meram (55'), Swiderski (61')
Jozwiak (89'), Westwood (90+1'), Agyemang (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sullivan (70'), Gazdag (90+7' pen.)
Andres Martinez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 DC United
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Charlotte FC have drawn eight out of their last 10 MLS games, including each of their last three, and they managed to hold high-flying Orlando City to a point at home at the end of August. Considering Philadelphia Union lost 3-1 against bottom-of-the-table Toronto FC in their last away match, it would not be a surprise if the spoils are shared on Wednesday night.

How to watch

You can watch Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
32.47% ( -0.33)	24.79% ( 0.09)	42.74% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 57.56% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48% (

-0.49)

45.52% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

-0.47)

67.85% (

0.48)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

-0.44)

26.83% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

-0.59)

62.13% (

0.59)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.09)

21.34% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.71% (

-0.14)

54.3% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 32.47%

Philadelphia Union 42.74%

Draw 24.79%

Charlotte FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.47%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.74%