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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
FC Cincinnati

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Andres Martinez (23'), Gazdag (37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85')
Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boupendza (49'), Vazquez (76')
Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 FC Cincinnati

 Philadelphia Union and Cincinnati have enjoyed a solid campaign and find themselves in the upper echelons of the Eastern Conference table. The Union's home record in this fixture makes them slight favourites and we see them claiming all three points in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawFC Cincinnati
62.04% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)63.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)37.35% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.13% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.04%
    FC Cincinnati 17.32%
    Draw 20.63%
Philadelphia UnionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.81%
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.32%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
0.0%
5
Head to Head
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Cincinnati
1-0
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Acosta (69' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 21, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Philadelphia
1-0
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> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-1
Philadelphia
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
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Bedoya (17')
Burke (64')
Vazquez (39')
Medunjanin (55'), Nwobodo (57'), Hagglund (62'), Nelson (68')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 43
Philadelphia
2-0
Cincinnati
Gazdag (11'), Aaronson (53')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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