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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
3 - 0
San Diego

Abada (11'), Agyemang (45' pen.), Privett (57')
Bronico (59'), Williamson (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Reyes (32'), Hamady (67'), Lozano (90+2')
Reyes (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Charlotte FC and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 3-2 San Diego
Sunday, April 13 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 San Diego

In what promises to be a tight encounter between two sides enjoying strong runs to open their MLS campaigns, we give a slight edge to Charlotte FC, given the quality in their squad and their perfect home record thus far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawSan Diego
56.26% (-1.59 -1.59) 21.75% (0.138 0.14) 21.98% (1.448 1.45)
Both teams to score 58.89% (1.731 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (1.266 1.27)39.64% (-1.269 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (1.306 1.31)61.99% (-1.309 -1.31)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)13.97% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52% (-0.144 -0.14)41.47% (0.14 0.14)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (2.068 2.07)31.53% (-2.072 -2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (2.322 2.32)67.92% (-2.325 -2.32)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 56.26%
    San Diego 21.98%
    Draw 21.75%
Charlotte FCDrawSan Diego
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.561 -0.56)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.171 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.08 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.275 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.294 0.29)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs San Diego

Charlotte FC
Draw
San Diego
Charlotte FC
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
San Diego
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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