Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Orlando City
Orlando have lost only two of their eight road games so far, and there is no doubt they know how to find the net away from home - they have scored nine times in their last four trips outside Florida. As Seattle are enduring their stickiest patch of the season, a draw may be the best they can hope for from such a challenging contest.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 61.11% . A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.75% .
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.79%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.66%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Seattle Sounders Draw Orlando City 61.11% ( 0.14) 22.14% ( -0.23) 16.75% ( 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.52% ( 0.85)
51.01% ( 1.05) 48.99% ( -1.05)
28.93% ( 0.94) 71.07% ( -0.94)
84.44% ( 0.4) 15.56% ( -0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.5% ( 0.75) 44.5% ( -0.75)
57.46% ( 0.73) 42.54% ( -0.73)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.1% ( 0.62) 78.9% ( -0.62)
Seattle Sounders 61.1%
Orlando City 16.75%
Draw 22.14%
Seattle Sounders Draw Orlando City 1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.15% Total : 61.1% 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.14% 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.75%
How you voted: Seattle vs Orlando City
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Orlando City
5
rhs 2.0
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