Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
56.22% ( -0.28) | 22.93% ( 0.02) | 20.85% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.69% ( 0.27) | 46.31% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.4% ( 0.25) | 68.6% ( -0.26) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.72% | 16.28% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.17% ( 0) | 45.83% ( -0.01) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.64% ( 0.42) | 36.36% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.85% ( 0.42) | 73.15% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |