Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 at 2.44am UK
Soldier Field
We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 CF Montreal
The Fire have been a lot sharper along the back end in recent outings, and we expect to see a highly motivated Kamara in the mood to do some damage to his former team.
Montreal do not seem to have the same swagger on the road that we saw a year ago, and they have not been all that convincing when in possession over the past few weeks.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.88% . A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.24% .
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.73%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%) , while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.64%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result Chicago Fire Draw CF Montreal 54.88% ( -0.11) 23.89% ( -0.05) 21.24% ( 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.36)
50.14% ( 0.38) 49.86% ( -0.38)
28.15% ( 0.34) 71.85% ( -0.34)
81.95% ( 0.1) 18.05% ( -0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.05% ( 0.17) 48.95% ( -0.17)
62% ( 0.37) 38% ( -0.37)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.23% ( 0.36) 74.77% ( -0.36)
Chicago Fire 54.87%
CF Montreal 21.24%
Draw 23.89%
Chicago Fire Draw CF Montreal 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.87% 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.89% 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.24%
How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Montreal
Chicago Fire
Draw
CF Montreal
12
rhs 2.0
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