Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.