Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.