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Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Atlanta United

Montreal
0 - 1
Atlanta


Camacho (53'), Kwizera (84'), Campbell (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lennon (54')
Almada (78'), Guzan (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY City
Sunday, July 2 at 2.03am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Atlanta United

Atlanta will be in buoyant mood following last weekend's win and they have made themselves difficult to beat in recent months, but they have largely struggled to come out on top when facing Montreal and we believe that the hosts will edge Sunday's contest to close in on the top seven.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
51.7% (0.179 0.18) 24.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 23.77% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (0.059000000000005 0.06)49.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (0.052000000000003 0.05)71.87% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (0.093999999999994 0.09)19.27% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (0.154 0.15)51% (-0.153 -0.15)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.6% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-0.09 -0.09)72.37% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 51.7%
    Atlanta United 23.77%
    Draw 24.53%
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Montreal vs Atlanta

CF Montreal
56.7%
Draw
30.0%
Atlanta United
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 9pm
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')
Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
3-3
Montreal
Martinez (6'), Almada (85'), Lennon (90+2')
Gutman (4'), Sosa (90+4')
Dwyer (67')
Mihailovic (28'), Kone (37'), Quioto (42' pen.)
Kone (10'), Miller (31'), Quioto (31'), Lappalainen (72'), Miljevic (82'), Camacho (90+1'), Johnston (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 12am
Gameweek 37
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Quioto (50', 55' pen.)
Mulraney (48')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Montreal
2-2
Atlanta
Toye (53'), Camacho (63')
Martinez (65'), Moreno (76' pen.)
May 16, 2021 12am
Gameweek 7
Atlanta
1-0
Montreal
Moreno (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
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13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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