We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Atlanta United
Atlanta will be in buoyant mood following last weekend's win and they have made themselves difficult to beat in recent months, but they have largely struggled to come out on top when facing Montreal and we believe that the hosts will edge Sunday's contest to close in on the top seven.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.