Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.