Major League Soccer

Apr 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 2
Houston

Fragapane (70')
Boxall (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bran (38' og.), Kowalczyk (77')
Carrasquilla (23'), Micael (40'), Kowalczyk (74'), Steres (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
45.49% ( -0.08)	24.8% ( -0.01)	29.71% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29% (

0.13)

46.71% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.02% (

0.11)

68.98% (

-0.11)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

0.02)

20.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.86% (

0.02)

53.14% (

-0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.13)

29.24% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.16)

65.19% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 45.49%

Houston Dynamo 29.71%

Draw 24.8%

Minnesota United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.49%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.71%