Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
1 - 1
Houston

Obrian (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ulfarsson (85')
Gasper (25'), Escobar (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Vancouver
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dallas 2-0 Houston Dynamo

Given Dallas' impressive home record and Houston's woeful record on the road, it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for the hosts. We are tipping the home team to claim all three points in a relatively comfortable manner.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
61.41% ( -0)	22.57% ( -0)	16.02% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.12%

51.88% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36% (

-0)

73.63%

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55%

16.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86% (

-0)

46.14%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.77% (

45.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.89% (

81.11% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Dallas 61.4%

Houston Dynamo 16.02%

Draw 22.57%

Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 13.42% 2-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 5.79% 4-0 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 61.4%	1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.57%	0-1 @ 5.9% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.02%