Despite failing to pick up a victory so far this season, Houston have been competitive in each fixture, and we feel that a maiden success for the Dynamo is just around the corner.
Portland needed some last-minute heroics in the Bronx to secure three points last time out, but we feel that Neville's side will be unable to repeat the trick in Texas.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
0.63) 
-0.23) 
