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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Portland Timbers

Houston
1 - 0
Portland

Ibrahim (43')
Dorsey (52'), Kowalczyk (70'), Artur (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zuparic (57'), Miller (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Houston
Tuesday, March 12 at 10pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-2 Portland
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Portland Timbers

 Despite failing to pick up a victory so far this season, Houston have been competitive in each fixture, and we feel that a maiden success for the Dynamo is just around the corner. Portland needed some last-minute heroics in the Bronx to secure three points last time out, but we feel that Neville's side will be unable to repeat the trick in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawPortland Timbers
51.41% (0.626 0.63) 24.07% (-0.229 -0.23) 24.52% (-0.398 -0.4)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.315 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (0.616 0.62)47.27% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.568 0.57)69.49% (-0.57000000000001 -0.57)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (0.479 0.48)18.39% (-0.48 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (0.805 0.81)49.53% (-0.805 -0.81)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 51.4%
    Portland Timbers 24.52%
    Draw 24.06%
Houston DynamoDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Houston vs Portland

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Portland Timbers
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Portland
1-3
Houston
Mora (80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74')
Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Houston
5-0
Portland
Bassi (5' pen.), Quinones (11'), Baird (14'), Escobar (45+3'), Smith (63')
Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4')

Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90')
> Preview
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland
Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')
Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 28
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0-2
Portland
> Preview
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