Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.