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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Toronto FC

DC United
3 - 2
Toronto

Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Canouse (56'), Benteke (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
Bernardeschi (79'), Laryea (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-5 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-2 Toronto

 If they can stay healthy, the experienced newcomers in Toronto should provide some stability to their backline, and although DC might be a little sharper in the attacking third, we believe they might struggle to contain the experienced Reds strikers who transitioned seamlessly to MLS.

How to watch

You can watch DC United vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawToronto
34.24% (-0.504 -0.5) 24.77% (-0.07 -0.07) 40.99% (0.574 0.57)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (0.22199999999999 0.22)44.93% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (0.212 0.21)67.29% (-0.211 -0.21)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.187 -0.19)25.48% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (-0.258 -0.26)60.32% (0.259 0.26)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.375 0.38)21.91% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (0.563 0.56)55.18% (-0.562 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    DC United 34.24%
    Toronto 40.99%
    Draw 24.76%
DC UnitedDrawToronto
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 40.99%

How you voted: DC United vs Toronto

DC United
41.2%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
58.8%
17
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')
Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')
Jul 3, 2021 10.30pm
DC United
7-1
Toronto
Paredes (2'), Robertha (8'), Priso-Mbongue (21' og.), Arriola (71'), Kamara (82'), Rodrigo Asad (85'), Yow (90')
Gressel (57')
Akinola (39')
Gonzalez (35'), Osorio (45+2'), Zavaleta (75')
Zavaleta (78')
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Kamara (5'), Yow (88')
Paredes (81')
Pozuelo (17'), Akinola (60')
DeLeon (25'), Piatti (41'), Laryea (67')
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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