We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
There seems to be a lot of dysfunction in Miami right now, and while Cincy have been poor at home, they have shown more balance and discipline than The Herons this season, so we expect to see them come out on top with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.