Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.