Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.