We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Real Salt Lake
Houston have hit their stride over the past month and will be confident of beating a Salt Lake side who have lost three of their four away matches so far.
Real Salt Lake have corrected their early-season wobble, but we do not envisage them getting anything out of a trip to Shell Energy Stadium this weekend.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.