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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Houston
1 - 2
Salt Lake

Ponce (16')
Escobar (45+5'), Bartlow (58'), Ponce (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Goncalves (1'), Luna (45+5')
Davis (45+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Houston
Saturday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-3 San Diego
Sunday, March 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake

While Houston Dynamo have stumbled into the new campaign, their home record in this fixture will give them plenty of optimism heading into the weekend. Real Salt Lake have struggled for consistency and we fancy Olsen's men to come away with the desired result at the Shell Energy Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
46.49% (-0.428 -0.43) 24.2% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 29.31% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 57.97% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (-0.184 -0.18)44.26% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)66.64% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.25 -0.25)19.18% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.14% (-0.412 -0.41)50.86% (0.41099999999999 0.41)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.14 0.14)28.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.178 0.18)63.98% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 46.49%
    Real Salt Lake 29.31%
    Draw 24.19%
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.31%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
Houston
4-1
Salt Lake
Bassi (27'), Dorsey (45+3'), Kowalczyk (75'), Ponce (81')
Steres (24'), Ponce (38')
Sviatchenko (49' og.)
Arango (31'), Katranis (63'), Glad (90+5')
Aug 6, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Houston
3-0
Salt Lake
Herrera (7'), Micael (24'), Glad (42' og.)
Ponce (62')
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-2
Houston
Gomez (22'), Luna (42'), Ojeda (67')
Ojeda (77'), Eneli (90+2')
Ibrahim (8'), Brody (55' og.)
Blessing (5'), Escobar (90+2')
Nov 11, 2023 11pm
Houston
1-1
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 1-1 | Houston win 4-3 on penalties)
Baird (28')
Baird (20')
Luna (65')
Savarino (46'), Arango (66'), Vera (72')
Nov 7, 2023 2am
Salt Lake
1-1
Houston
(Aggregate 1-1 | Salt Lake win 5-4 on penalties)
Savarino (70')
Glad (27'), Ojeda (33'), Vera (52')
Bassi (28')
Clark (16'), Bassi (17'), Dorsey (48'), Carrasquilla (69'), Sviatchenko (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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