Major League Soccer

Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
4 - 0
Montreal

Borrero (21'), Gil (45+4' pen.), Wood (50'), Vrioni (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (26'), Corbo (45'), Wanyama (54'), Waterman (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-1 NY City
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New England Revolution 2-0 CF Montreal

A loss like the one they suffered in Vancouver cannot be good for the psyche of this Montreal team, who look dumbfounded away from home, while adjusting to the Losada style of play does not appear to be working. The Revs have been a force for most of the campaign, and we believe their mixture of youth and experience in the middle of the field will do some damage against a Montreal team that look like a wounded animal right now.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	CF Montreal
49.83% ( 0.01)	24.37% ( 0)	25.8% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

-0.01)

47.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

-0.01)

69.64% (

0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

-0)

19.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33%

50.67%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46% (

-0.02)

32.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93% (

-0.02)

69.07% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 49.83%

CF Montreal 25.8%

Draw 24.36%

New England Revolution	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.83%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.8%