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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New York City

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Kara (7')
Smith (33'), McGuire (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Segal (89')
Chanot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 New York City FC

Orlando City's disappointing home record, coupled with New York City's poor form on their travels, makes this a very tough match to call, but we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow victory. The Lions managed to win their last match on home soil, while the Pigeons have recorded two draws and five defeats in seven matches, and there have been no recent signs of improvement.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
44.48% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 25.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 29.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (0.178 0.18)51.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (0.154 0.15)73.44% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.14% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (0.13 0.13)57.01% (-0.126 -0.13)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (0.121 0.12)68.3% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 44.48%
    New York City FC 29.58%
    Draw 25.95%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.58%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
New York City FC
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
First Round
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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