Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.