Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.