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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 4, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Portland Timbers

Los Angeles
3 - 2
Portland

Chiellini (24'), Vela (34' pen.), Opoku (52')
Hollingshead (45+8'), Sanchez (45+1'), Tillman (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Evander (62'), Paredes (84')
McGraw (41'), Fogaca (90+1'), Fogaca (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-3 Philadelphia (3-0 pen.)
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Kansas
Tuesday, February 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Portland Timbers

 Los Angeles' recent home form means that it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather a win for them. While we expect Portland Timbers to put up a decent fight, we just about fancy the hosts to secure the points at the end of the 90 minutes.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawPortland Timbers
65.38% (0.791 0.79) 19.21% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 15.41% (-0.727 -0.73)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-1.539 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52% (-1.172 -1.17)38.48% (1.17 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-1.252 -1.25)60.78% (1.25 1.25)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97% (-0.133 -0.13)11.03% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.66% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)35.33% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-1.635 -1.64)37.85% (1.634 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (-1.626 -1.63)74.63% (1.624 1.62)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 65.38%
    Portland Timbers 15.41%
    Draw 19.21%
Los Angeles FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.444 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.455 0.46)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.291 0.29)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 65.38%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.41%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Portland

Los Angeles FC
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Portland Timbers
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 8pm
Portland
1-2
Los Angeles
Asprilla (81')
Vela (51'), Bouanga (90+5')
Mar 7, 2022 3am
Los Angeles
1-1
Portland
Fall (90+3')
Hollingshead (25'), Sanchez (78')
Chara (18')
Bravo (36'), Asprilla (39'), van Rankin (45+3'), Fochive (65'), Savarese (74'), Chara (90+2')
Bravo (62')
Sep 30, 2021 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-2
Portland
Musovski (55')
Palacios (29'), Arango (90+9')
Chara (45'), Asprilla (59')
Paredes (25'), Asprilla (45+2'), Valeri (76')
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
Portland
2-1
Los Angeles
Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')
Arango (27' pen.)
Jul 22, 2021 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Los Angeles
Valeri (2'), Mora (90+3')
Paredes (86')
Vela (17')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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