Major League Soccer

Mar 13, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
4 - 0
New England

Bouanga (14' pen., 67'), Tillman (83'), Biuk (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Polster (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 3-0 Houston
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-2 New England Revolution

The Revs look fresh and determined to put last season behind them, and we believe the vision of Carles Gil and the solid goalkeeping of Petrovic will enable them to take advantage of an LAFC side who may be a little fatigued having played in Costa Rica just a couple of days ago.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	New England Revolution
66.62% ( 0.54)	18.64% ( 0)	14.75% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 55.66% (

-1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.8% (

-1.22)

37.2% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.59% (

-1.33)

59.4% (

1.32)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.65% (

-0.21)

10.35% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.17% (

-0.47)

33.82% (

0.47)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.09% (

-1.48)

37.91% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31% (

-1.46)

74.69% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 66.61%

New England Revolution 14.75%

Draw 18.64%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	New England Revolution
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.86% Total : 66.61%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.64%	1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.75%