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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 at 10pm UK
BC Place Stadium
LA Galaxy

Vancouver
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Adekugbe (2'), White (87')
Berhalter (35'), Ocampo (78'), White (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pec (39')
Pec (18'), Cerrillo (41'), Fagundez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa
Friday, February 28 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-2 San Diego
Monday, February 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

The Caps played earlier this week in the Champions Cup, ousting Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 on aggregate, and going up against an angry Galaxy team following on a few days' rest could spell bad news for the home team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 22.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 62.47% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)38.42% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)60.71% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)16.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)46.33% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)25.13% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)59.83% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 47.38%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 29.62%
    Draw 22.98%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Vancouver vs LA Galaxy

Vancouver Whitecaps
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-2
Vancouver
Pec (32'), Berhalter (50' og.), Paintsil (70'), Puig (90+3')
White (64'), Adekugbe (90+7')
Berhalter (8'), Armstrong (86'), Vite (88')
Apr 14, 2024 3.30am
Vancouver
1-3
LA Galaxy
White (77')
Cubas (20'), Veselinovic (45+2'), Ahmed (54'), White (85')
Joveljic (56'), Paintsil (80'), Fagundez (82')
Yamane (25')
Jul 16, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
4-2
LA Galaxy
White (2'), Gauld (10', 23' pen.), Cordova (90+4')
Schopf (48')
Brugman (61'), Delgado (74')
Mavinga (9'), Puig (23')
Mavinga (22')
Sep 15, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0
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