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Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Portland Timbers

Minnesota Utd
4 - 1
Portland

Chara (43' og.), Reynoso (45+4', 77'), Hlongwane (74')
Tapias (13'), Heath (14'), Boxall (16'), Dotson (21'), Taylor (34'), Reynoso (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boli (60')
Paredes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 1-1 NY City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-2 Portland Timbers

 Both sides will view this match as the ideal chance to put three points on the board, and we are expecting an open and entertaining contest. A case can be made for either side to win it, but we have had to ultimately settle on a score draw here.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
53.45% (-1.147 -1.15) 24.4% (0.375 0.38) 22.15% (0.779 0.78)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.663 -0.66)50.94% (0.671 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (-0.585 -0.59)72.81% (0.59100000000001 0.59)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.687 -0.69)19% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (-1.159 -1.16)50.55% (1.166 1.17)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.394 0.39)37.71% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (0.38 0.38)74.48% (-0.37299999999999 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 53.44%
    Portland Timbers 22.15%
    Draw 24.4%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.258 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 22.15%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Portland

Minnesota United
40.0%
Draw
50.0%
Portland Timbers
10.0%
10
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Portland
0-1
Minnesota Utd

McGraw (63'), Bravo (67'), Zuparic (84')
Hlongwane (90+5')
Boxall (82'), Hlongwane (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Minnesota Utd
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 8pm
Minnesota Utd
4-4
Portland
Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
> Preview
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Gameweek 18
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Portland
Gasper (74'), Lod (85')
Lod (90+4')
Mora (10')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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