Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
53.45% ( -1.15) | 24.4% ( 0.38) | 22.15% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( -0.66) | 50.94% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( -0.59) | 72.81% ( 0.59) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% ( -0.69) | 19% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% ( -1.16) | 50.55% ( 1.17) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( 0.39) | 37.71% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( 0.38) | 74.48% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |