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Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Portland Timbers

Minnesota Utd
4 - 1
Portland

Chara (43' og.), Reynoso (45+4', 77'), Hlongwane (74')
Tapias (13'), Heath (14'), Boxall (16'), Dotson (21'), Taylor (34'), Reynoso (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boli (60')
Paredes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 1-1 NY City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-2 Portland Timbers

 Both sides will view this match as the ideal chance to put three points on the board, and we are expecting an open and entertaining contest. A case can be made for either side to win it, but we have had to ultimately settle on a score draw here.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
53.45% (-1.147 -1.15) 24.4% (0.375 0.38) 22.15% (0.779 0.78)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.663 -0.66)50.94% (0.671 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (-0.585 -0.59)72.81% (0.59100000000001 0.59)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.687 -0.69)19% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (-1.159 -1.16)50.55% (1.166 1.17)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.394 0.39)37.71% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (0.38 0.38)74.48% (-0.37299999999999 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 53.44%
    Portland Timbers 22.15%
    Draw 24.4%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.258 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 22.15%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Portland

Minnesota United
40.0%
Draw
50.0%
Portland Timbers
10.0%
10
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Portland
0-1
Minnesota Utd

McGraw (63'), Bravo (67'), Zuparic (84')
Hlongwane (90+5')
Boxall (82'), Hlongwane (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Minnesota Utd
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 8pm
Minnesota Utd
4-4
Portland
Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
> Preview
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Gameweek 18
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Portland
Gasper (74'), Lod (85')
Lod (90+4')
Mora (10')
> Preview
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