We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Portland Timbers
The Quakes' home form has been excellent this season, and despite letting in a goal in each of their last three matches at PayPal Park, they have found a way to outscore their opponents more often than not.
The visitors, on the other hand, have struggled for results on the road, and coming up against the side with the best home record in the Western Conference does not bode well for their chances in this one.
How to watch
You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.