Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.