Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Nashville SC
Montreal may be in a slump, but we believe they will catch a break against a Nashville side that look just as disorganised as Montreal defensively but are also rather uncomfortable when in front.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.9% . A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.1%) . The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood .
Result CF Montreal Draw Nashville SC 40.9% ( 0.75) 26.19% ( 0.2) 32.9% ( -0.95)
Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.9)
48.53% ( -1.04) 51.47% ( 1.03)
26.72% ( -0.91) 73.27% ( 0.91)
75.17% ( -0.08) 24.83% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.58% ( -0.11) 59.42% ( 0.1)
70.52% ( -1.12) 29.47% ( 1.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.52% ( -1.39) 65.48% ( 1.38)
CF Montreal 40.9%
Nashville SC 32.9%
Draw 26.18%
CF Montreal Draw Nashville SC 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.9% 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.9%
How you voted: Montreal vs Nashville
CF Montreal
Draw
Nashville SC
20
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 07:06:07
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