Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew
Something tells us that Montreal will be extra motivated for this match, not just because of their collapse last weekend, but also to give their current manager an ego boost against their former boss.
That said, the Crew have tremendous resilience and have fared well in intimidating environments all season, which is why we project they will nab a point.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64% . A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%) . The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result CF Montreal Draw Columbus Crew 35.65% ( 0.01) 23.71% ( 0) 40.64% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.38% ( -0.01)
60.39% ( -0.01) 39.6% ( 0.01)
38.05% ( -0.01) 61.95% ( 0.01)
77.77% ( 0) 22.22% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.35% ( 0.01) 55.65% ( -0.01)
80.2% ( -0.01) 19.79% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.14% ( -0.02) 51.85% ( 0.02)
CF Montreal 35.65%
Columbus Crew 40.65%
Draw 23.7%
CF Montreal Draw Columbus Crew 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.65% 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.65%
How you voted: Montreal vs Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
Draw
Columbus Crew
8
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 07:19:37
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