Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
4 - 1
Montreal

Surridge (11', 47', 82'), Zimmerman (20')
Godoy (57'), Muyl (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zimmerman (64' og.)
Piette (29'), Wanyama (90'), Zouhir (90+8'), Zouhir (97+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal

The return of Zimmerman should drastically improve the Nashville backline, but even without him, we believe they will be able to shut down a Montreal attack missing plenty of key pieces and who tend to sustain a lot more pressure away from home, something the Boys in Gold can take advantage of. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	CF Montreal
55.21% ( -1.42)	23.15% ( 0.31)	21.64% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.68% (

0.04)

46.32% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.39% (

0.04)

68.6% (

-0.05)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

-0.48)

16.63% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.53% (

-0.87)

46.47% (

0.86)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4% (

1.12)

35.6% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63% (

1.14)

72.37% (

-1.15)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 55.21%

CF Montreal 21.64%

Draw 23.15%

Nashville SC	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 55.21%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.64%