Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.