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Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Nashville

Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville

Insigne (38')
Mabika (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leal (69')
Bauer (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Nashville
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Nashville SC

All of the previous matches between these two have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate another tight one on Saturday between two clubs who have found a way to rack up some points in recent weeks.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
38.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.32% (0.064 0.06) 34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27% (-0.253 -0.25)55.73% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (-0.206 -0.21)76.87% (0.208 0.21)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)28.37% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (-0.168 -0.17)64.11% (0.17 0.17)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.152 -0.15)30.49% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.184 -0.18)66.71% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.07%
    Nashville SC 34.6%
    Draw 27.32%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.07%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.6%

How you voted: Toronto vs Nashville

Toronto
47.4%
Draw
26.3%
Nashville SC
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Toronto
2-1
Nashville

Bradley (39')

Lovitz (32')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 12
Nashville
3-2
Toronto
Maher (62'), Haakenson (83', 90+2')
Osorio (26'), Mullins (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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