Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto2 - 1DC United
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 3-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Toronto 2-0 DC United
Since 2015, DC have only captured one away match at BMO Field, and their defence have left Miller hanging out to dry too much this season, so although the Reds seem to have their issues, we believe they will be able to expose the visitors' weak backline on Saturday.How to watch
You can watch Toronto vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | DC United |
48.94% ( 0.06) | 25.18% ( -0.23) | 25.88% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
