Atlanta have made a valiant effort to get themselves back into the postseason conversation, but they are a little too tentative away from home, while struggling with their composure in front of goal on the road, scoring once or fewer in 12 away matches this season.
New England look defeated at the moment, and this team have not been nearly as sharp in the final third this year, continuously relying on their goalkeeping to bail them out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
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