Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2022 at 12am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Atlanta

Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Bedoya (37'), Uhre (51'), Andres Martinez (83'), McGlynn (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gutman (24')
Pineda (17'), Sanchez (47'), Dwyer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Colorado
Sunday, August 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	28	37	54
2	CF Montreal	27	10	49
3	New York Red Bulls	28	8	44

Atlanta United

Last Six:

Last Game: Atlanta 3-2 DC United
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	New England Revolution	27	-3	34
8	Atlanta United	27	0	33
9	Toronto	28	-5	33

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Atlanta United

Philadelphia Union look nearly unstoppable on their own turf, and they will be expected to take control of proceedings and get the job done. We are backing them to keep the juggernaut rolling with a relatively comfortable victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Atlanta United
58.29%	22.14% ( 0)	19.57%

Both teams to score 53.78% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37% (

-0)

44.63% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33% (

-0)

66.99% (

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.53% (

-0)

43.47% (

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.28% (

36.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49%

73.51% (

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 58.29%

Atlanta United 19.57%

Draw 22.14%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.91% 3-1 @ 6.28% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.98% 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.61% Total : 58.29%	1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.14%	0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.57%