Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.