Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.