Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FC | 31 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | -10 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CF Montreal | 31 | 11 | 56 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 5 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
53.35% (![]() | 23.71% (![]() | 22.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% (![]() | 47.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% (![]() | 69.48% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% (![]() | 17.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.74% (![]() | 48.26% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% (![]() | 34.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% (![]() | 71.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.68% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |