Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2022 at 1am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 2
DC United

Heber (27')
Acevedo (56'), Amundsen (62'), Latinovich (69'), (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kamara (24'), Birnbaum (57')
Odoi-Atsem (22'), Rodriguez (25'), Fletcher (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 3-1 DC United

New York City FC and DC United have had contrasting campaigns in the MLS, with Rooney's side sitting rock bottom in the East. The Pigeons have also enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to make use of their home advantage to claim a fourth straight win over the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 9.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	DC United
76.29% ( -0.01)	14.66% ( 0.01)	9.04% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.01% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.4% (

-0.02)

33.59% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.59% (

-0.02)

55.4% (

0.02)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.72% (

-0)

7.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.66% (

-0.01)

26.34% (

0.01)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.02% (

-0)

44.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08% (

-0)

80.92% (

Score Analysis

New York City FC 76.29%

DC United 9.04%

Draw 14.66%

New York City FC	Draw	DC United
2-0 @ 11.23% 3-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.29%	1-1 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.59% 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.66%	1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.69% Total : 9.04%