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Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2022 at 12am UK
Red Bull Arena
Philadelphia Union

NY Red Bulls
0 - 2
Philadelphia


Yearwood (90+4')
Yearwood (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (48'), Gazdag (75')
Glesnes (8'), Burke (32'), Elliott (36'), Gazdag (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 0-1 Philadelphia Union

 What seems to be forgotten in everything that the Union have achieved lately is the fact that this is still perhaps the most formidable defensive unit in MLS. We believe that will make the difference against a Red Bulls side who are equally solid along the backline but might not be able to match the scoring depth of Philadelphia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.64% (1.359 1.36) 26.85% (-0.566 -0.57) 29.5% (-0.796 -0.8)
Both teams to score 49.57% (1.278 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75% (1.81 1.81)55.25% (-1.811 -1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (1.466 1.47)76.48% (-1.467 -1.47)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (1.53 1.53)25.13% (-1.531 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (2.066 2.07)59.83% (-2.069 -2.07)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (0.35899999999999 0.36)33.79% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (0.388 0.39)70.45% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 43.64%
    Philadelphia Union 29.5%
    Draw 26.85%
New York Red BullsDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.239 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.278 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.171 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.152 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.613 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.568 -0.57)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 29.5%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Philadelphia

New York Red Bulls
22.2%
Draw
13.9%
Philadelphia Union
63.9%
36
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Gazdag (47')
Carranza (52'), Andres Martinez (65'), McGlynn (76'), Bedoya (85')
Luquinhas (66')
Nealis (25'), Fernandez (53'), Tolkin (90+4')
Nealis (55')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Philadelphia
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Glesnes (120+3')
Andres Martinez (74')

Yearwood (15'), Gutman (51'), Edwards (52'), Reyes (79')
Sep 30, 2021 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Philadelphia
Fernandez (37')
Duncan (52'), Reyes (65')
Santos (17')
Andres Martinez (45'), Wagner (85'), Blake (86'), Elliott (88')
Jul 9, 2021 1am
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Philadelphia
Klimala (60' pen.)
Yearwood (45+2'), Duncan (90+7')
Santos (85')
Mbaizo (42'), Monteiro (90+7')
Matthew (57')
May 16, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Burke (9')
Flach (90+1'), Elliott (90+4')

Long (52'), Nealis (61'), Yearwood (79')
Yearwood (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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