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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK
Toyota Park
New York City

Chicago Fire
0 - 2
NY City


Czichos (18'), Teran (60'), Navarro (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (16'), Rodriguez (46')
Rodriguez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Charlotte FC
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 New York City FC

 Something just doesn't seem right with the defending champions at the moment, and the Fire should be able to take advantage of that this week in a game that means a lot more to them than it does to the visitors. The Pigeons seem to be missing a little imagination and creativity in the attack right now, while they look unusually disorganized along the backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
36.16% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 26.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 37.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.69% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)73.47% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)26.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (0.061 0.06)62.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.16%
    New York City FC 37.48%
    Draw 26.35%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.48%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
New York City FC
35.7%
14
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

Pineda (32')
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City

Kappelhof (90')

Parks (42'), Tajouri (84')
Parks (73')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Chicago Fire
3-4
NY City
Beric (33'), Frankowski (42', 43')
Callens (15'), Mackay-Steven (32'), Medina (37'), Castellanos (77')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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