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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Spectrum Stadium
Toronto FC

Orlando City
4 - 2
Toronto

Araujo (32'), Freeman (35'), Ojeda (63'), Dan Thor­halls­son (81')
Santos (57'), Atuesta (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rosted (72'), Flores (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 2-4 Philadelphia
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Toronto
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-2 Toronto

Both sides have the individual quality that can make a difference, but as we saw last weekend, they each give up their share of scoring opportunities, which is why we anticipate an exciting stalemate between the two on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
57.45% (-0.578 -0.58) 22.67% (0.13 0.13) 19.88% (0.449 0.45)
Both teams to score 52.58% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.52% (0.058999999999997 0.06)46.48% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (0.054000000000002 0.05)68.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (-0.175 -0.17)15.92% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83% (-0.322 -0.32)45.17% (0.322 0.32)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.512 0.51)37.47% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.498 0.5)74.25% (-0.499 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 57.45%
    Toronto 19.88%
    Draw 22.67%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Toronto

Orlando City
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Toronto
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Orlando City
Etienne (5')
Petretta (63'), Flores (71'), O'Neill (75'), Insigne (90+5')
Ojeda (27'), Gomis (45' og.)
Cartagena (75'), Gallese (80'), Enrique (88')
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Toronto
McGuire (36')
McGuire (55'), Araujo (67'), Lodeiro (75'), Lodeiro (81')
Spicer (87'), Osei Owusu (90')
Gomis (11'), Osei Owusu (50'), Petretta (57'), Schlegel (90+3'), Johnson (90+3')
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
4-0
Toronto
Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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