Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.