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DC United
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Toronto FC

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Enow (8'), Benteke (35')
Benteke (90+4'), Rowles (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Osorio (27'), Bernardeschi (70' pen.)
Long (17'), Rosted (60'), Flores (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-3 Charlotte FC
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-1 Toronto

It is hard to tell how much either side improved during the off-season, but Benteke is coming off a stellar season and should have his chances against a Toronto backline where questions remain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawToronto
45.8% (-0.491 -0.49) 25.33% (0.134 0.13) 28.87% (0.356 0.36)
Both teams to score 53.91% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (-0.365 -0.37)49.45% (0.365 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (-0.327 -0.33)71.49% (0.32599999999999 0.33)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.36999999999999 -0.37)21.59% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.569 -0.57)54.69% (0.57 0.57)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)31.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.085999999999999 0.09)67.59% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    DC United 45.8%
    Toronto 28.87%
    Draw 25.33%
DC UnitedDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 7% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.87%

How you voted: DC United vs Toronto

DC United
Draw
Toronto
DC United
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Kerr (83')
Flores (65'), Kerr (77'), Laryea (90+1')
Rodriguez (67'), Badji (88'), Pirani (90+3')
Pirani (90+1')
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Ku-Dipietro (79'), Klich (90+5' pen.)
Etienne (2'), Bernardeschi (33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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