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DC United
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Toronto FC

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Enow (8'), Benteke (35')
Benteke (90+4'), Rowles (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Osorio (27'), Bernardeschi (70' pen.)
Long (17'), Rosted (60'), Flores (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-3 Charlotte FC
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-1 Toronto

It is hard to tell how much either side improved during the off-season, but Benteke is coming off a stellar season and should have his chances against a Toronto backline where questions remain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawToronto
45.8% (-0.491 -0.49) 25.33% (0.134 0.13) 28.87% (0.356 0.36)
Both teams to score 53.91% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (-0.365 -0.37)49.45% (0.365 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (-0.327 -0.33)71.49% (0.32599999999999 0.33)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.36999999999999 -0.37)21.59% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.569 -0.57)54.69% (0.57 0.57)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)31.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.085999999999999 0.09)67.59% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    DC United 45.8%
    Toronto 28.87%
    Draw 25.33%
DC UnitedDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 7% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.87%

How you voted: DC United vs Toronto

DC United
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Kerr (83')
Flores (65'), Kerr (77'), Laryea (90+1')
Rodriguez (67'), Badji (88'), Pirani (90+3')
Pirani (90+1')
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Ku-Dipietro (79'), Klich (90+5' pen.)
Etienne (2'), Bernardeschi (33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
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