Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
49.32% ( -0.73) | 22.93% ( 0.17) | 27.74% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.56% ( -0.37) | 39.44% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% ( -0.39) | 61.79% ( 0.39) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( -0.39) | 16.23% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -0.73) | 45.75% ( 0.73) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% ( 0.2) | 26.9% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% ( 0.26) | 62.22% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |