Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.