Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
44.96% ( -0.61) | 25.59% ( -0.87) | 29.45% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( 3.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.75% ( 4.24) | 50.25% ( -4.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.8% ( 3.64) | 72.2% ( -3.64) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 1.53) | 22.31% ( -1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( 2.24) | 55.78% ( -2.25) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% ( 3.34) | 31.23% ( -3.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% ( 3.71) | 67.57% ( -3.71) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( -1.36) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -1.27) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.53) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |