We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New York City FC
Morale is at an all-time low in New York City right now, and though there are some talented playmakers on that team, no one has stepped up and shown they can bury a clear-cut scoring opportunity.
Atlanta may be a little susceptible defensively, but they have had no trouble finding the back of the net with 11 players notching at least one MLS goal in 2023, and taking on a team as fragile as NYCFC this week, we expect them to pounce on the opportunities presented to them.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.